A professor in Chinese labor Caif
Fang estimates that China in on the stage of rapid decrease in the labour
force, this will greatly affect the overall annual growth rate, with a 1.5
percentage decrease this will continue to rise during the 2016-2020.
The demographic dividend of china
will end and the fast economic growth of the country in the last three decades
has been led by exports in which this is dependent on its cheap and abundant
labor supply.
A fast turn down of labour force
will be the origin of shortages and a rapid raise in wages. Such changes will deteriorate
the competitiveness on export industries of China in the worldwide market,
affecting economic development.
China should undertake a dramatic
economic reformation in dealing with this problem.
The rapid process of ageing will bring
political difficulties. The authenticity of Chinese communist as the country’s ruling
group since the Tiananmen massacre in 1989 has been its basis on maintaining
rapid economic growth.
China’s economic slowdown at the
appointed time challenges to party's authenticity.
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